Predicting short- to medium-term care home admission risk in older adults: a systematic review of externally validated models.

INTRODUCTION: Predicting risk of care home admission could identify older adults for early intervention to support independent living but require external validation in a different dataset before clinical use. We systematically reviewed external validations of care home admission risk prediction models in older adults. METHODS: We searched Medline, Embase and Cochrane Library until 14 August 2023 for external validations of prediction models for care home admission risk in adults aged ≥65 years with up to 3 years of follow-up. We extracted and narratively synthesised data on study design, model characteristics, and model discrimination and calibration (accuracy of predictions). We assessed risk of bias and applicability using Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. RESULTS: Five studies reporting validations of nine unique models were included. Model applicability was fair but risk of bias was mostly high due to not reporting model calibration. Morbidities were used as predictors in four models, most commonly neurological or psychiatric diseases. Physical function was also included in four models. For 1-year prediction, three of the six models had acceptable discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)/c statistic 0.70-0.79) and the remaining three had poor discrimination (AUC < 0.70). No model accounted for competing mortality risk. The only study examining model calibration (but ignoring competing mortality) concluded that it was excellent. CONCLUSIONS: The reporting of models was incomplete. Model discrimination was at best acceptable, and calibration was rarely examined (and ignored competing mortality risk when examined). There is a need to derive better models that account for competing mortality risk and report calibration as well as discrimination.

Nurse Practitioner Care, Scope of Practice, and End-of-Life Outcomes for Nursing Home Residents With Dementia.

Importance: Nursing home residents with Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD) often receive burdensome care at the end of life. Nurse practitioners (NPs) provide an increasing share of primary care in nursing homes, but how NP care is associated with end-of-life outcomes for this population is unknown. Objectives: To examine the association of NP care with end-of-life outcomes for nursing home residents with ADRD and assess whether these associations differ according to state-level NP scope of practice regulations. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study using fee-for-service Medicare claims included 334 618 US nursing home residents with ADRD who died between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from April 6, 2015, to December 31, 2018. Exposures: Share of nursing home primary care visits by NPs, classified as minimal (<10% of visits), moderate (10%-50% of visits), and extensive (>50% of visits). State NP scope of practice regulations were classified as full vs restrictive in 2 domains: practice authority (authorization to practice and prescribe independently) and do-not-resuscitate (DNR) authority (authorization to sign DNR orders). Main Outcomes and Measures: Hospitalization within the last 30 days of life and death with hospice. Linear probability models with hospital referral region fixed effects controlling for resident characteristics, visit volume, and geographic factors were used to estimate whether the associations between NP care and outcomes varied across states with different scope of practice regulations. Results: Among 334 618 nursing home decedents (mean [SD] age at death, 86.6 [8.2] years; 69.3% female), 40.5% received minimal NP care, 21.4% received moderate NP care, and 38.0% received extensive NP care. Adjusted hospitalization rates were lower for residents with extensive NP care (31.6% [95% CI, 31.4%-31.9%]) vs minimal NP care (32.3% [95% CI, 32.1%-32.6%]), whereas adjusted hospice rates were higher for residents with extensive (55.6% [95% CI, 55.3%-55.9%]) vs minimal (53.6% [95% CI, 53.3%-53.8%]) NP care. However, there was significant variation by state scope of practice. For example, in full practice authority states, adjusted hospice rates were 2.88 percentage points higher (95% CI, 1.99-3.77; P < .001) for residents with extensive vs minimal NP care, but the difference between these same groups was 1.77 percentage points (95% CI, 1.32-2.23; P < .001) in restricted practice states. Hospitalization rates were 1.76 percentage points lower (95% CI, -2.52 to -1.00; P < .001) for decedents with extensive vs minimal NP care in full practice authority states, but the difference between these same groups in restricted practice states was only 0.43 percentage points (95% CI, -0.84 to -0.01; P < .04). Similar patterns were observed in analyses focused on DNR authority. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that NPs appear to be important care providers during the end-of-life period for many nursing home residents with ADRD and that regulations governing NP scope of practice may have implications for end-of-life hospitalizations and hospice use in this population.

The effect of current antithrombotic therapy on mortality in nursing home residents with COVID-19: a multicentre retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The first wave of COVID led to an alarmingly high mortality rate among nursing home residents (NHRs). In hospitalised patients, the use of anticoagulants may be associated with a favourable prognosis. However, it is unknown whether the use of antithrombotic medication also protected NHRs from COVID-19-related mortality. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of current antithrombotic therapy in NHRs with COVID-19 on 30-day all-cause mortality during the first COVID-19 wave. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study linking electronic health records and pharmacy data in NHRs with COVID-19. A propensity score was used to match NHRs with current use of therapeutic dose anticoagulants to NHRs not using anticoagulant medication. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality, which was evaluated using a logistic regression model. In a secondary analysis, multivariable logistic regression was performed in the complete study group to compare NHRs with current use of therapeutic dose anticoagulants and those with current use of antiplatelet therapy to those without such medication. RESULTS: We included 3521 NHRs with COVID-19 based on a positive RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 or with a well-defined clinical suspicion of COVID-19. In the matched propensity score analysis, NHRs with current use of therapeutic dose anticoagulants had a significantly lower all-cause mortality (OR = 0.73; 95% CI: 0.58-0.92) compared to NHRs who did not use therapeutic anticoagulants. In the secondary analysis, current use of therapeutic dose anticoagulants (OR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.48-0.82) and current use of antiplatelet therapy (OR 0.80; 95% CI: 0.64-0.99) were both associated with decreased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: During the first COVID-19 wave, therapeutic anticoagulation and antiplatelet use were associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality in NHRs. Whether these potentially protective effects are maintained in vaccinated patients or patients with other COVID-19 variants, remains unknown.

Osteoporosis management in Australian aged care facilities: a mixed method study.

Osteoporosis is a common but sub-optimally managed disease amongst aged care residents. Pharmacists undertaking comprehensive medication reviews is one strategy to improve osteoporosis management. Analysis of pharmacist medication review recommendations has identified common clinical practice issues that can be addressed to optimise osteoporosis management for aged care residents. PURPOSE: This study investigates the prevalence of osteoporosis medicine use amongst Australian aged care residents and explores drug-related problems (DRPs) identified during medication reviews and pharmacist recommendations to resolve them. METHODS: Resident demographics, medications, diagnoses, osteoporosis related DRPs, and recommendations to resolve them were extracted from medication review reports. A mixed methods approach was taken to analysis, involving descriptive statistical analysis and content analysis. RESULTS: Medication review reports relating to 980 residents were collected. Antiresorptive therapies were used by 21.7% of residents, of which 87.2% were prescribed denosumab. Osteoporosis related DRPs represented 14.0% of all DRPs identified by pharmacists. Vitamin D was involved in 55.4% of these DRPs, the remainder concerned antiresorptive therapies (23.4%), medications contributing to osteoporosis (16.3%), and calcium (4.9%). Frequent deviations in practice from aged care clinical guidelines and consensus recommendations concerning vitamin D and calcium were found. DRPs and accompanying recommendations relating to denosumab revealed inadequate monitoring and inadvertent therapy disruptions. CONCLUSION: Pharmacist identified DRPs and recommendations revealed common aspects of clinical practice that can be addressed to improve osteoporosis management for aged care residents. A need to raise awareness of aged care-specific consensus recommendations concerning vitamin D and calcium is evident. Facility protocols and procedures must be developed and implemented to ensure safe and effective use of denosumab.

Potentially Avoidable Hospitalizations Among Historically Marginalized Nursing Home Residents.

Importance: Nursing home (NH) transfers to hospitals are common and have been associated with cognitive decline; approximately 45% of NH hospital transfers are potentially avoidable hospitalizations (PAHs). Objective: To determine PAH incidence for historically marginalized NH residents with severe cognitive impairment compared with non-Hispanic White residents. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study merged 2018 Centers for Medicaid & Medicare Services datasets and LTCFocus, a public dataset on US NH care, for US NH residents aged 65 years and older who had a hospitalization. Analyses were performed from January to May 2022. Exposure: Race and ethnicity of NH residents. Main Outcomes and Measures: Racial and ethnic differences in resident-level annual rates of PAHs were estimated for residents with and without severe cognitive impairment (measured using the Cognitive Function Scale), controlling for resident characteristics, comorbidities, dual eligibility, and time at risk. PAHs were defined as NH hospital transfers that resulted from neglectful NH care or for which NH treatment would have been appropriate. Results: Of 2 098 385 NH residents nationwide included in the study, 7151 (0.3%) were American Indian or Alaska Native, 39 873 (1.9%) were Asian, 229 112 (10.9%) were Black or African American, 99 304 (4.7%) were Hispanic, 2785 (0.1%) were Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, 1 713 670 (81.7%) were White, and 6490 (0.3%) were multiracial; 1 355 143 (64.6%) were female; 128 997 (6.2%) were severely cognitively impaired; and the mean (SD) age was 81.8 (8.7) years. PAH incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were significantly greater for residents with severe cognitive impairment compared with those without. In unadjusted analyses comparing historically marginalized residents with severe cognitive impairment vs non-Hispanic White residents with severe cognitive impairment, American Indian or Alaska Native residents had a 49% higher PAH incidence (IRR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.10-2.01]), Black or African American residents had a 64% higher incidence (IRR, 1.64 [95% CI, 1.48-1.81]), and Hispanic residents had a 45% higher incidence (IRR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.29-1.62]). Higher incidences persisted for historically marginalized residents with severe cognitive impairment vs non-Hispanic White residents with severe cognitive impairment in adjusted analyses. Asian residents had a 24% higher PAH incidence (IRR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.06-1.45]), Black or African American residents had a 48% higher incidence (IRR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.36-1.60]), and Hispanic residents had a 27% higher incidence (IRR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.16-1.39]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of PAHs, compared with non-Hispanic White NH residents, historically marginalized residents had increased PAH incidence. In the presence of severe cognitive impairment, incidence rates increased significantly compared with rates for residents without severe cognitive impairment. These results suggest that identification of residents with severe cognitive impairment and proper NH care may help prevent further cognitive decline by avoiding PAHs.

Relation between pre-existing quality management measures and prevention and containment of COVID-19 outbreaks in 159 nursing homes in Tuscany: a mixed methods study.

BACKGROUND: Nursing homes were often the focus of COVID-19 outbreaks. Many factors are known to influence the ability of a nursing home to prevent and contain a COVID-19 outbreak. The role of an organisation's quality management prior to the pandemic is not yet clear. In the Italian region of Tuscany nursing home performance indicators have been regularly collected since before the pandemic, providing the opportunity to better understand this relationship. OBJECTIVES: To test if there is a difference in the results achieved by nursing homes in Tuscany on 13 quality management indicators, when grouped by severity of COVID-19 outbreaks; and to better understand how these indicators may be related to the ability to control COVID-19 outbreaks, from the perspective of nursing homes. METHODS: We used a mixed methods sequential explanatory design. Based on regional and national databases, 159 nursing homes in Tuscany were divided into four groups by outbreak severity. We tested the significance of the differences between the groups with respect to 13 quality management indicators. The potential relation of these indicators to COVID-19 outbreaks was discussed with 29 managers and other nursing homes' staff through four group interviews. RESULTS: The quantitative analysis showed significant differences between the groups of nursing homes for 3 of the 13 indicators. From the perspective of nursing homes, the indicators might not be good at capturing important aspects of the ability to control COVID-19 outbreaks. For example, while staffing availability is seen as essential, the staff-to-bed ratio does not capture the turn-over of staff and temporary absences due to positive COVID-19 testing of staff. CONCLUSIONS: Though currently collected indicators are key for overall performance monitoring and improvement, further refinement of the set of quality management indicators is needed to clarify the relationship with nursing homes' ability to control COVID-19 outbreaks.

[Hot weather and health risks in the focus of the Hessian health authorities : Inspection and consultation of residential care and nursing facilities since 2004]. / Hitzeschutz im Fokus der hessischen Betreuungs- und Pflegeaufsicht : Beratung und Prüfung stationärer Einrichtungen seit dem Jahr 2004.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Heat extremes are associated with considerable health risks, especially for vulnerable groups. To counteract these risks, public health policy calls for protective measures to be linked to heat warnings. Such links do not generally exist in Germany, with the exception of the heat inspections and consultations carried out by the Hessian health authorities since 2004. The aims of this work were to identify the structures and processes of the Hessian heat inspections and heat consultations and to derive findings for acute response to heat in residential care and nursing facilities. METHODS: We conducted 14 qualitative, semi-structured interviews with experts from the Hessian health authorities as well as with managers of residential care and nursing facilities. The analysis of the interview protocols was carried out using content-structuring qualitative content analysis. In addition, documents from the supervisory authority were analyzed. RESULTS: Every year, up to 370 heat inspections are carried out in the approximately 2500 inpatient facilities in Hesse. They are either integrated into already planned inspections or carried out separately; they focus on preventive and acute measures. In principle, heat protection can be easily integrated into the daily routine of residential health facilities. High staff turnover and lack of resources pose challenges. DISCUSSION: Inspections and consultations on heat management raise awareness of hot weather health risks and support the establishment of preventive measures. The Hessian system is a suitable orientation for other federal states.

Evacuation and Health Care Outcomes Among Assisted Living Residents After Hurricane Irma.

Importance: Evacuation has been found to be associated with adverse outcomes among nursing home residents during hurricanes, but the outcomes for assisted living (AL) residents remain unknown. Objective: To examine the association between evacuation and health care outcomes (ie, emergency department visits, hospitalizations, mortality, and nursing home visits) among Florida AL residents exposed to Hurricane Irma. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study using 2017 Medicare claims data. Participants were a cohort of Florida AL residents who were aged 65 years or older, enrolled in Medicare fee-for-service, and resided in 9-digit zip codes corresponding to US assisted living communities with 25 or more beds on September 10, 2017, the day of Hurricane Irma's landfall. Propensity score matching was used to match evacuated residents to those that sheltered-in-place based on resident and AL characteristics. Data were analyzed from September 2022 to February 2024. Exposure: Whether the AL community evacuated or sheltered-in-place before Hurricane Irma made landfall. Main Outcomes and Measures: Thirty- and 90-day emergency department visits, hospitalizations, mortality, and nursing home admissions. Results: The study cohort included 25 130 Florida AL residents (mean [SD] age 81 [9] years); 3402 (13.5%) evacuated and 21 728 (86.5%) did not evacuate. The evacuated group had 2223 women (65.3%), and the group that sheltered-in-place had 14 556 women (67.0%). In the evacuated group, 42 residents (1.2%) were Black, 93 (2.7%) were Hispanic, and 3225 (94.8%) were White. In the group that sheltered in place, 490 residents (2.3%) were Black, 707 (3.3%) were Hispanic, and 20 212 (93.0%) were White. After 1:4 propensity score matching, when compared with sheltering-in-place, evacuation was associated with a 16% greater odds of emergency department visits (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.16; 95% CI, 1.01-1.33; P = .04) and 51% greater odds of nursing home visits (AOR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.14-2.00; P = .01) within 30 days of Hurricane Irma's landfall. Hospitalization and mortality did not vary significantly by evacuation status within 30 or 90 days after the landfall date. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of Florida AL residents, there was an increased risk of nursing home and emergency department visits within 30 days of Hurricane Irma's landfall among residents from communities that evacuated before the storm when compared with residents from communities that sheltered-in-place. The stress and disruption caused by evacuation may yield poorer immediate health outcomes after a major storm for AL residents. Therefore, the potential benefits and harms of evacuating vs sheltering-in-place must be carefully considered when developing emergency planning and response.

State- and Territory-Level Nursing Home and Home Health Care COVID-19 Policies and Disease Burden.

This cross-sectional study creates a dataset and dashboard of US state- and territory-level COVID-19 policies specific to nursing homes and home health care agencies.

Staffing and Antipsychotic Medication Use in Nursing Homes and Neighborhood Deprivation.

Importance: Inappropriate use of antipsychotic medications in nursing homes is a growing public health concern. Residents exposed to higher levels of socioeconomic deprivation in the area around a nursing home may be currently exposed, or have a long history of exposure, to more noise pollution, higher crime rates, and have less opportunities to safely go outside the facility, which may contribute to psychological stress and increased risk of receiving antipsychotic medications inappropriately. However, it is unclear whether neighborhood deprivation is associated with use of inappropriate antipsychotic medications and whether this outcome is different by facility staffing levels. Objective: To evaluate whether reported inappropriate antipsychotic medication use differs in severely and less severely deprived neighborhoods, and whether these differences are modified by higher levels of total nurse staffing. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a cross-sectional analysis of a national sample of nursing homes that linked across 3 national large-scale data sets for the year 2019. Analyses were conducted between April and June 2023. Exposure: Neighborhood deprivation status (severe vs less severe) and total staffing hours (registered nurse, licensed practical nurse, certified nursing assistant). Main Outcome and Measures: This study estimated the association between neighborhood deprivation and the percentage of long-stay residents who received an antipsychotic medication inappropriately in the nursing home at least once in the past week and how this varied by nursing home staffing through generalized estimating equations. Analyses were conducted on the facility level and adjusted for state fixed effects. Results: This study included 10 966 nursing homes (1867 [17.0%] in severely deprived neighborhoods and 9099 [83.0%] in less deprived neighborhoods). Unadjusted inappropriate antipsychotic medication use was greater in nursing homes located in severely deprived neighborhoods (mean [SD], 15.9% [10.7%] of residents) than in those in less deprived neighborhoods (mean [SD], 14.2% [8.8%] of residents). In adjusted models, inappropriate antipsychotic medication use was higher in severely deprived neighborhoods vs less deprived neighborhoods (19.2% vs 17.1%; adjusted mean difference, 2.0 [95% CI, 0.35 to 3.71] percentage points) in nursing homes that fell below critical levels of staffing (less than 3 hours of nurse staffing per resident-day). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that levels of staffing modify disparities seen in inappropriate antipsychotic medication use among nursing homes located in severely deprived neighborhoods compared with nursing homes in less deprived neighborhoods. These findings may have important implications for improving staffing in more severely deprived neighborhoods.

Trends in observation stays for Medicare beneficiaries with and without Alzheimer's disease and related dementias.

BACKGROUND: There has been a marked rise in the use of observation care for Medicare beneficiaries visiting the emergency department (ED) in recent years. Whether trends in observation use differ for people with Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease-related dementias (AD/ADRD) is unknown. METHODS: Using a national 20% sample of Medicare beneficiaries ages 68+ from 2012 to 2018, we compared trends in ED visits and observation stays by AD/ADRD status for beneficiaries visiting the ED. We then examined the degree to which trends differed by nursing home (NH) residency status, assigning beneficiaries to four groups: AD/ADRD residing in NH (AD/ADRD+ NH+), AD/ADRD not residing in NH (AD/ADRD+ NH-), no AD/ADRD residing in NH (AD/ADRD- NH+), and no AD/ADRD not residing in NH (AD/ADRD- NH-). RESULTS: Of 7,489,780 unique beneficiaries, 18.6% had an AD/ADRD diagnosis. Beneficiaries with AD/ADRD had more than double the number of ED visits per 1000 in all years compared to those without AD/ADRD and saw a faster adjusted increase over time (+26.7 vs. +8.2 visits/year; p < 0.001 for interaction). The annual increase in the adjusted proportion of ED visits ending in observation was also greater among people with AD/ADRD (+0.78%/year, 95% CI 0.77-0.80%) compared to those without AD/ADRD (+0.63%/year, 95% CI 0.59-0.66%; p < 0.001 for interaction). Observation utilization was greatest for the AD/ADRD+ NH+ population and lowest for the AD/ADRD- NH- population, but the AD/ADRD+ NH- group saw the greatest increase in observation stays over time (+15.4 stays per 1000 people per year, 95% CI 15.0-15.7). CONCLUSIONS: Medicare beneficiaries with AD/ADRD have seen a disproportionate increase in observation utilization in recent years, driven by both an increase in ED visits and an increase in the proportion of ED visits ending in observation.

Changes in social care after major emergency general surgery procedures.

BACKGROUND: Emergency general surgery (EGS) is a major part of the provision of healthcare, and patients undergoing EGS are at elevated risk of morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to determine factors contributing to patients losing their independence and being discharged to residential and nursing homes having previously lived in their own residences. METHODS: Our local data uploaded to the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) (2014-2022) were analyzed. This national database encompasses all major EGS cases undertaken in the United Kingdom. The variables considered were patient demographics, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, admission and discharge dates, presenting pathology, operation type, and discharge destination. Comparative analyses segmented patients based on postdischarge EGS destinations. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors linked to residential/nursing home placement after discharge. Significance was set at P < .05. RESULTS: Data from all patients in the NELA database (n = 1611) were analyzed. Approximately 1 in 10 patients older than 70 years never returned home. Patients requiring additional support were on average 8.6 years older (P = .008). At older than 80 years, the need for extra social support increased substantially with each increasing year in age, and those older than 85 years were more than twice as likely to require extra support than 80-year-olds (P < .001). Patients who died were 11.4 years older than those discharged without additional support (P < .001). CONCLUSION: A significant proportion of patients, particularly the elderly, do not return to their usual place of residence and require a higher level of care postemergency surgery. These important social factors need to be considered before operating given that they may have significant quality of life and economic implications.

Social engagement and cognitive impairment among nursing home residents: The role of sensory impairment.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Using US national nursing home data, this cross-sectional study sought to evaluate 1) the association between lack of social engagement and level of cognitive impairment; and 2) the extent to which this association differs by hearing and visual impairment. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Our sample included 793,846 nursing home residents aged ≥ 50 years. The Index of Social Engagement was categorized as none/lower (0, 1, 2) or higher levels (3 through 6). Cognitive Performance Scale was grouped as intact/mild (0, 1, 2), moderate (3, 4), or severe (5, 6). Multinomial models provided adjusted odds ratio (aOR) and 95 % confidence intervals (CI) between none/lower social engagement and cognitive impairment. We estimated relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) to quantify the joint effects of social engagement and sensory impairment types. RESULTS: Overall, 12.6 % had lower social engagement, 30.3 % had hearing impairment, and 40.3 % had visual impairment. Compared to residents with high social engagement, those with lower social engagement were more likely to have moderate/severe cognitive impairment (aORmoderate = 2.21, 95 % CI 2.17-2.26; aORsevere = 6.49, 95 % CI 6.24-6.74). The impact of low social engagement on cognitive impairment was more profound among residents with hearing impairment and/or visual impairment (RERIhearing = 3.89, 95 % CI 3.62-4.17; RERIvisual = 25.2, 95 % CI 23.9-26.6)). DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Residents with lower social engagement had higher levels of cognitive impairment. Residents with sensory impairments are potentially more susceptible to the negative impact of lower levels of social engagement on level of cognitive impairment.

Prevalence and risk factors of cognitive frailty among pre-frail and frail older adults in nursing homes.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this research was to stratify the level of frailty to examine the risk factors associated with reversible cognitive frailty (RCF) and potentially reversible cognitive frailty (PRCF) in nursing homes to provide a basis for hierarchical management in different stages of frailty. METHODS: The study was a cross-sectional study conducted from September to November 2022; 504 people were selected by stratified random sampling after convenience selection from the Home for the Aged Guangzhou. The structured questionnaire survey was conducted through face-to-face interviews using the general data questionnaire, Fried Frailty Phenotype, Montreal Cognitive Assessment Scale. RESULTS: In total, 452 individuals were included for analysis. A total of 229 cases (50.7%) were PRCF, 70 (15.5%) were RCF. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that in pre-frailty, the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15) score (odds ratio (OR) 1.802; 95% CI 1.308-2.483), Instrumental Activities of Daily Living Scale (IADL) score (0.352; 0.135-0.918) and energy (0.288; 0.110-0.755) were influencing factors of RCF. GDS-15 score (1.805; 1.320-2.468), IADL score (0.268; 0.105-0.682), energy (0.377; 0.150-0.947), lack of intellectual activity (6.118; 1.067-35.070), admission time(>3 years) (9.969; 1.893-52.495) and low education (3.465; 1.211-9.912) were influencing factors of PRCF. However, RCF with frailty was associated with the Short-Form Mini-Nutritional Assessment (MNA-SF) score (0.301; 0.123-0.739) and low education time (0 ~ 12 years) (0.021; 0.001-0.826). PRCF with frailty was associated with age (1.327; 1.081-1.629) and weekly exercise time (0.987; 0.979-0.995). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of RCF and PRCF was high among pre-frail and frail older adults in nursing homes. Different levels of frailty had different influencing factors for RCF and PRCF. Depression, daily living ability, energy, intellectual activity, admission time, education level, nutrition status, age and exercise time were associated with RCF and PRCF. Hierarchical management and intervention should be implemented for different stages of frailty to prevent or delay the progression of cognitive frailty.

The relationship of age and comorbid conditions to hospital and nursing home days in Medicaid recipients with HIV.

OBJECTIVE: To determine how aging impacts healthcare utilization in persons with HIV (PWH) compared with persons without HIV (PWoH). DESIGN: Matched case-control study. METHODS: We studied Medicaid recipients in the United States, aged 18-64 years, from 2001 to 2012. We matched each of 270 074 PWH to three PWoH by baseline year, age, gender, and zip code. Outcomes were hospital and nursing home days per month (DPM). Comorbid condition groups were cardiovascular disease, diabetes, liver disease, mental health conditions, pulmonary disease, and renal disease. We used linear regression to examine the joint relationships of age and comorbid conditions on the two outcomes, stratified by sex at birth. RESULTS: We found small excesses in hospital DPM for PWH compared with PWoH. There were 0.03 and 0.07 extra hospital DPM for female and male individuals, respectively, and no increases with age. In contrast, excess nursing home DPM for PWH compared with PWoH rose linearly with age, peaking at 0.35 extra days for female individuals and 0.4 extra days for male individuals. HIV-associated excess nursing home DPM were greatest for persons with cardiovascular disease, diabetes, mental health conditions, and renal disease. For PWH at age 55 years, this represents an 81% increase in the nursing home DPM for male individuals, and a 110% increase for female individuals, compared PWoH. CONCLUSION: Efforts to understand and interrupt this pronounced excess pattern of nursing home DPM among PWH compared with PWoH are needed and may new insights into how HIV and comorbid conditions jointly impact aging with HIV.

Documenting the indication for antimicrobial prescribing: A retrospective observational study of long-term care homes.

BACKGROUND: Overuse of antimicrobials in residents of long-term care homes is common and can result in harm. Antimicrobial stewardship interventions are needed in the long-term care (LTC) homes setting to improve the appropriate use of antimicrobials. Previous literature has highlighted the importance of documenting antimicrobial indication as a strategy that contributes to improve antimicrobial use; however, there is a lack of evidence in LTC homes. This study examines the prevalence, clarity, and facility-level variability of antibiotic indication documentation in this setting. METHODS: This is an observational retrospective study of oral antibiotic prescriptions dispensed to 218 homes between January 1, 2021 and December 31, 2022 in Ontario, Canada. Indication was obtained from reviewing antibiotic prescription data. Clarity was determined by comparing documented indication to the National Antimicrobial Prescribing Survey (NAPS). Descriptive analysis was performed to examine the prevalence and clarity of indication documentation. Funnel plots were generated to examine variability in prevalence of indication documentation and clarity at the home level. RESULTS: Overall, 22.9% (7998/34,867) of prescriptions had an indication documented. The proportion of indications that were clear was 37% (2984/7998). The most common indications were for urinary (45%), skin and soft tissue (19.9%) and respiratory infections (15.0%). At the home level, the median prevalence of indication was 19.6% (interquartile range [IQR]: 10.8%-31.4%) and median prevalence of clear indications was 35.1% (IQR: 23.8%-42.9%). Funnel plots revealed substantial variability in indication prevalence with 46.3% of homes falling outside of 99% limits but minimal variability in indication clarity between homes with only 8.7% of homes outside of 99% control limits. CONCLUSIONS: There is an opportunity to increase both the prevalence and clarity of antibiotic prescriptions in LTC homes. Future work should focus on determining how best to support prescription indication documentation in this setting with consideration being given to prescription workflow and most common antibiotic prescription indications.

The risk of fractures after entering long-term care facilities.

BACKGROUND: Stratifying residents at increased risk for fractures in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) can potentially improve awareness and facilitate the delivery of targeted interventions to reduce risk. Although several fracture risk assessment tools exist, most are not suitable for individuals entering LTCF. Moreover, existing tools do not examine risk profiles of individuals at key periods in their aged care journey, specifically at entry into LTCFs. PURPOSE: Our objectives were to identify fracture predictors, develop a fracture risk prognostic model for new LTCF residents and compare its performance to the Fracture Risk Assessment in Long term care (FRAiL) model using the Registry of Senior Australians (ROSA) Historical National Cohort, which contains integrated health and aged care information for individuals receiving long term care services. METHODS: Individuals aged ≥65 years old who entered 2079 facilities in three Australian states between 01/01/2009 and 31/12/2016 were examined. Fractures (any) within 365 days of LTCF entry were the outcome of interest. Individual, medication, health care, facility and system-related factors were examined as predictors. A fracture prognostic model was developed using elastic nets penalised regression and Fine-Gray models. Model discrimination was examined using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) from the 20 % testing dataset. Model performance was compared to an existing risk model (i.e., FRAiL model). RESULTS: Of the 238,782 individuals studied, 62.3 % (N = 148,838) were women, 49.7 % (N = 118,598) had dementia and the median age was 84 (interquartile range 79-89). Within 365 days of LTCF entry, 7.2 % (N = 17,110) of individuals experienced a fracture. The strongest fracture predictors included: complex health care rating (no vs high care needs, sub-distribution hazard ratio (sHR) = 1.52, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.39-1.67), nutrition rating (moderate vs worst, sHR = 1.48, 95%CI 1.38-1.59), prior fractures (sHR ranging from 1.24 to 1.41 depending on fracture site/type), one year history of general practitioner attendances (≥16 attendances vs none, sHR = 1.35, 95%CI 1.18-1.54), use of dopa and dopa derivative antiparkinsonian medications (sHR = 1.28, 95%CI 1.19-1.38), history of osteoporosis (sHR = 1.22, 95%CI 1.16-1.27), dementia (sHR = 1.22, 95%CI 1.17-1.28) and falls (sHR = 1.21, 95%CI 1.17-1.25). The model AUC in the testing cohort was 0.62 (95%CI 0.61-0.63) and performed similar to the FRAiL model (AUC = 0.61, 95%CI 0.60-0.62). CONCLUSIONS: Critical information captured during transition into LTCF can be effectively leveraged to inform fracture risk profiling. New fracture predictors including complex health care needs, recent emergency department encounters, general practitioner and consultant physician attendances, were identified.

Decolonization in Nursing Homes to Prevent Infection and Hospitalization.

BACKGROUND: Nursing home residents are at high risk for infection, hospitalization, and colonization with multidrug-resistant organisms. METHODS: We performed a cluster-randomized trial of universal decolonization as compared with routine-care bathing in nursing homes. The trial included an 18-month baseline period and an 18-month intervention period. Decolonization entailed the use of chlorhexidine for all routine bathing and showering and administration of nasal povidone-iodine twice daily for the first 5 days after admission and then twice daily for 5 days every other week. The primary outcome was transfer to a hospital due to infection. The secondary outcome was transfer to a hospital for any reason. An intention-to-treat (as-assigned) difference-in-differences analysis was performed for each outcome with the use of generalized linear mixed models to compare the intervention period with the baseline period across trial groups. RESULTS: Data were obtained from 28 nursing homes with a total of 28,956 residents. Among the transfers to a hospital in the routine-care group, 62.2% (the mean across facilities) were due to infection during the baseline period and 62.6% were due to infection during the intervention period (risk ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.96 to 1.04). The corresponding values in the decolonization group were 62.9% and 52.2% (risk ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.79 to 0.88), for a difference in risk ratio, as compared with routine care, of 16.6% (95% CI, 11.0 to 21.8; P<0.001). Among the discharges from the nursing home in the routine-care group, transfer to a hospital for any reason accounted for 36.6% during the baseline period and for 39.2% during the intervention period (risk ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.12). The corresponding values in the decolonization group were 35.5% and 32.4% (risk ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.88 to 0.96), for a difference in risk ratio, as compared with routine care, of 14.6% (95% CI, 9.7 to 19.2). The number needed to treat was 9.7 to prevent one infection-related hospitalization and 8.9 to prevent one hospitalization for any reason. CONCLUSIONS: In nursing homes, universal decolonization with chlorhexidine and nasal iodophor led to a significantly lower risk of transfer to a hospital due to infection than routine care. (Funded by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Protect ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03118232.).

[Palliative and Hospice Care in Nursing Homes: Discrepancies Between Theoretical Framework and Everyday Practice]. / Palliativversorgung und hospizliche Begleitung in der stationären Pflege zwischen theoretischem Konzept und Praxisalltag.

OBJECTIVES: Despite the existence of a legislative framework, palliative care and hospice support in nursing homes vary widely. Although most nursing homes have palliative care concepts by now, they are rarely integrated into everyday practice. This study aims to examine differences in palliative and hospice care and to determine the causes of discrepancies between theoretical framework and everyday practice. METHODS: Based on a pilot project, in depth structural and process analyses of two nursing homes in urban and rural areas in North Rhine-Westphalia were conducted. In addition, three nursing homes of an extended group of providers as well as an expert advisory board was included to minimize (provider-) specific characteristics and to expand findings. RESULTS: Although the proportion of palliative residents and their average age was comparable, analyses revealed significant differences between the nursing homes regarding the palliative length of stay (213.2 days vs. 88.6 days) as well as the mortality rate of palliative residents among all death cases (26% vs. 63.6%). Furthermore, internal processes within the nursing homes differed vastly despite similar concepts and procedural instructions. As a result, palliative care formally started at an earlier stage in nursing home X. Besides that, the identification of palliative care situations, as well as communication, organizational processes and the inclusion of cooperation partners, took place without fixed structures and was based on the subjective handling of staff members in both facilities. CONCLUSIONS: It turns out to be challenging for nursing homes to implement theoretical framework into everyday practice. To facilitate this process, aside from practicable assessments, defined responsibilities and organizational support, financing concepts at health policy level need to be established.